Yeyiphi imiqobo yokuNgcakaza kunyulo lweMidterm?

Uninzi lwethu lubonile ukungxama kwemisebenzi kwiibhokisi zethu zokungenela malunga noNyulo lweMidterm, kodwa enye yabamba iliso lam: Zithini iingxaki zokungcakaza? Makhe sijonge.

Ndifumene i-imeyile evela kubantu Dime yeMali yokuBheja , indawo ekhethekileyo ekubaleni iingxaki, kunye nokubheja kwepropu. Ukubheja kwipropu kuchazwa njengobhejo olwenziwe ngokubhekisele kwinto eyenzekayo okanye engenzeki ngexesha lomdlalo wesiganeko ongachaphazeli ngqo iziphumo zokugqibela zomdlalo.

Babhala ukuba iqela labo lenziwe ngabahlalutyi bezokubheja kunye nababhali bezemidlalo abasukela kwiimbaleki zangaphambili kunye nabaqeqeshi ukuya kwii-winks zamanani kunye neenkcukacha-manani. Indawo ibonakalisiwe kwiindawo ezinje IWashington Post , ESPN , kunye Ingxelo yeBleacher , Kwaye ngoku benze i-dive enzulu kwiingxaki ezijikeleze iMidterms.

Ezi zinto zinomdla zinomdla, kuba besineentsuku ezixineneyo, ezixokozelayo zokuqikelela ekuqhubeni ukuza kuthi ga ngoku, nangaphambi koko, uninzi, iinyanga ezininzi-zeminyaka yokuqikelela malunga neziphumo zolu lonyulo. Sivile kwiipundits, i-pollsters, iintloko ezingenakubalwa zokuthetha, kunye nomalume wakho onomsindo kuFacebook, ukanti ukungcakaza kungandibetha njengongenangqondo. Akubonakali ngathi kukho i-ajenda apha ngaphaya kokugcina ulwazi lokungcakaza esidlangalaleni, ke liziva liqabula ngokuqhawula umtshato kwintetho esiye sayiva kwenye indawo.

Olu luhlalutyo olwenziweyo olwenziwe ngamehlo hayi kwezopolitiko, kodwa ngenkuthazo yokwazi amathuba akho. Ukungcakaza lucingo oluhle ukuhamba, ke nceda ungcakazo ngononophelo ukuba uyakwenza oko, kwaye iMidlalo yokuBheja iMidlalo ingathanda ukuba uyazi ukuba iingxaki ezizodwa esizivelisayo kumanqaku eendaba akhethiweyo zikwangokonwabisa, kwaye azifumaneki ukuba zibhejelwe. Ngale nto engqondweni, makhe sibone amanani abaye beza nawo.

Uhlalutyo lwam oluthandayo apha? Ingaphezulu / ngaphantsi ngokubhekisele kunyuso lokuphuma kwabavoti xa kuthelekiswa nolonyulo luka-2016. Ngaphezulu / phantsi kokubheja ukuqikelela inani leenkcukacha-manani kumdlalo owunikiweyo, kwaye abathengi babheja ukuba elona nani lomdlalo liya kuba phezulu okanye liphantsi kunelo nani. Apha, baqikelela iipesenti ezinje nge-35% yokuvota kwabafazi, + iipesenti ezingama-30 zabavoti abamnyama, + iipesenti ezingama-50 zabaDemokhrasi, + iipesenti ezingama-35 zabavoti abangaphantsi kweminyaka engama-30, kunye -15% kumaRiphabhlikhi. (Ndiyacela?)

Ukubheja kwe-Mid Midm Prop 2018

Iziphumo zeDemokhrasi ukuphumelela ukhuphiswano lweeNdlu yeeNgwevu (Iimpazamo zeRiphabhlikhi zokuphumelela ziya kuba yinto eyahlukileyo)

INevada (iRosen vs. Heller) 1/1
IArizona (iSinema vs McSally) 4/5
IFlorida (uNelson vs Scott) 3/7
I-Indiana (iDonnelly vs Braun) 3/7
EMissouri (McCaskill vs Hawley) 2/3
EMantla Dakota (Heitkamp vs Cramer) 3/1
I-Texas (O'Rourke vs Cruz) 4/1

I-116th United States Congress Props

Ngaphezulu / Ngaphantsi kwenani elipheleleyo lezihlalo zeSeneti eziflip 3.5
Ngaphezulu / Ngaphantsi kwezihlalo ezilawulwa yiRiphabhlikhi kwi-Senate 51.5
Iziphumo zomdyarho we-Senate unyanzelwe ukuba uye kwi-5/1

Ukonyuka kokuvota kulonyulo lwaphakathi enyakeni ka-2014 (Ngaphezulu / Ngaphantsi)

Ngokubanzi + 30%
Abafazi + 35%
Umnyama + 30%
I-Hispanic + 30%
Ikholeji yaBafundi abaMhlophe + 5%
Iiriphabliki -15%
Iidemokhrasi + 50%
Ezizimeleyo + 10%
Iimpawu + 30%
AmaGeorgia + 30%
Abaphoswayo + 50%
Ngaphantsi kweminyaka engama-30 + 35%
Abahlali beSilicon Valley + 5%

Ngaphezulu / Ngaphantsi kweNombolo kaDonald Trump Tweets ngo-Novemba 6 . 5.5

Iziphumo uDonald Trump uthumela i-tweet ekhankanya aba bantu balandelayo ngo-Novemba 6-7.

UChuck Schumer 1/1
UNancy Pelosi 1/1
UBarack Obama 4/1
UHillary Clinton 5/1

Ukhetho losetyenziso

Ngaphezulu / Ngaphantsi kwenani lokukhwela kwizikhululo zokuvota ezibonelelwe ngu-Uber kunye neLyft 2.5 yezigidi
Ngaphezulu / ngaphantsi komndilili wexesha lokulinda ukhwele nge-Uber / Lyft ngosuku lonyulo imizuzu eli-15
Ngaphezulu / ngaphantsi kwenani labavoti ababhaliswe ngeSnapchat 550,000

Iziphumo zomgqatswa ophumeleleyo ubulela oku kulandelayo kwidilesi yokuphumelela okanye kwi-tweet

UChristine Blasey Ford 15/1
Abaphembeleli babafundi baseParkland 25/1
I-Oprah 30/1
UTaylor Swift 35/1
Ngaba uFerrell 40/1
I-Snapchat 50/1
UGeorge Soros 250/1
IRussia 250/1

Andikwazi ukulinda bonke abo baviwa ukuba babulele iRashiya ukuze ekugqibeleni ndivune umvuzo wam onomdla wokugembula.

Ucinga ntoni ngezi ngxaki? Ngaba uyabafumana uhlalutyo oluthuthuzelayo olunokunceda ukuqikelela apho siya khona, okanye ngaba ungaphezulu kohlobo lweHan Solo?

(nge Dime yeMali yokuBheja , imifanekiso: Lucasfilm)