I-Intanethi ibhengeza i-NYT Pollster Nate Isilivere Uninzi lwegqwirha, iimvavanyo ezizayo ezizayo

I-NYT poll-meister kunye nolwazi lweemfihlakalo ezimnyama Nate Isilivere uthathe indawo ethile kwiveki ephelileyo ukubheja kwiziphumo zonyulo lukamongameli kunye nobuntu beFox News UJoe Scarborough. Isilivere ingqinelwe phezolo njenge iingqikelelo zakhe zonyulo, zikarhulumente, ziye zafumanisa ukuba zichanekile… phantse zichanekile, bambi basenokuthi. Ke njengoko isizwe sijonge ukubeka unyulo lobumongameli emva kwethu kwaye siqhubele phambili njengelizwe, sonke singabuyela kowona mbuzo ubaluleke kakhulu wakusasa emva kobusuku obukhulu: Ngaba uNate Silver uligqwirha?

Ukufunda ukuba ingaba uMnumzana uSilver wenze iinyani ngezidalwa ezimnyama ezivela kwiindawo ezingaphantsi kwamandla okuqikelela ngokuchanekileyo iziphumo zohlanga lwezopolitiko, sijikela njengakuqala kubulumko obungapheliyo be-Intanethi ukufumana impendulo… mhlawumbi. Abaphandi abangakhathaliyo IsNateSilverAWitch.com Usebenzise into esinokuyicinga ukuba ngumdibaniso onobunkunkqele wohlalutyo lwamanani, uqikelelo olufundileyo, ukutolikwa kwamaphupha, kunye neepawundi ezininzi zamagqabi eti ukuze kugqitywe ukuba iSilver inokuba itsala amandla kubaphathi abangenabungcwele ukwenza izibhengezo zakhe zopolitiko. Oku, ngapha koko, yeyona nkcazo ilula kwaye inengqiqo.

Kwindawo nganye:

Ngelixa thina kwi-Is Nate Silver ibhodi yokuhlela igqwirha sizingqongqo rationalists, ukusebenza kukaMnumzana Silver bekuyinto engaqondakaliyo ngokwaneleyo ukuphakamisa amathandabuzo amancinci kodwa abalulekileyo malunga nokuba indlela yakhe yokusebenza iphelele kweli hlabathi.

Ke, ngaba uNate Silver ngokukrokrela uqikelelo lwamanqaku lusixelela ukuba ukulahlwa kwamathambo kunye nokufunda amathumbu kubaluleke kwiindlela zakhe njengeenombolo zokuvota kunye nezibalo? Ngaba uMnu.Silver uya kuvuma kuvavanyo olusengqiqweni oluya kuthi lumisele, kube kanye, nokuba angalinganisa idada? Ngaba uyakuvuma ukutyunyuzwa phantsi kwemfumba enkulu yamatye, yenzululwazi? Asizazi iimpendulo zale mibuzo, kodwa siyayazi le nto: siza kuvumela omnye umntu ayibuze. Asikafiki apha ebomini ngokuwela abantu abanokusinika iliso elibi, kwaye sikhohlakele kakuhle ukuba asizukuqala ngoku.

(nge IsNateSilverAWitch.com )

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